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Benefits - MITACS - Mathematics of Information Technology and Complex Systems

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The science of predictions:  Alberta researcher transforms random data into practical knowledge
 

The world is awash in data we cannot understand or use. A homegrown technology is now making sense of this seemingly random knowledge to detect computer hackers, personalize television commercials, or locate a missing ship at sea.

Canada's growing expertise in applied mathematics could have major implications for national defence, network security, financial markets, and search and rescue. It may even alter the face of television.

Dr. Michael Kouritzin is a world-renowned expert in mathematical and statistical sciences at the University of Alberta. He is also the president of two new companies spun off from the university and MITACS that are bringing his novel statistical algorithms to large corporations like Lockheed Martin.

Dr. Kouritzin heads the Prediction in Interacting Systems (PINTS) – a MITACS-funded research centre formed in 1999 that is marrying mathematics, statistics, and computer science to determine what is going on in real life. PINTS has developed mathematical modelling and prediction techniques that take into account all the behaviour, characteristics, and conditions that affect how random systems operate and behave. It removes the guesswork and human error when it comes to tracking boats, aircraft, submarines, and other targets.

"Imagine a dinghy lost at sea," explains Dr. Kouritzin. "A helicopter is trying to locate it based solely on noisy imagery taken from a digital camera, infrared, or radar. Our platform filters through this data and comes up with a statistical prediction on where the dinghy is located. This same mathematical filtering theory can be used to track computer hacking, money laundering, or even insider trading."

Lockheed Martin, the main corporate partner in PINTS, has filed three patents from the technology, two of which are being used in its current research.

"We're defence contractors, so we deal with military applications – trying to find the locations, speeds, velocities of non-cooperating platforms, such as an unfriendly jet air fighter, or missile," says Dr. Ron Mahler, a staff scientist at Lockheed Martin Naval Surveillance Systems in St. Paul, Minnesota. "To do this research, we need the type of technology that Mike has been developing."

Dr. Mahler describes the Canadian researcher as a pioneer in an area of applied research that has stymied engineers, mathematicians, and computer scientists for years.

"These technologies are definitely ahead of the game, so much so that our sponsorship of his work appears to have spurred a huge increase in interest in non-linear filtering," he adds. "Mike presented his first paper on this in 2000 (at the AeroSense-2000 Conference in Orlando, Florida), and since then, the number of papers in this technology area has increased exponentially."

Dr. Kouritzin is now actively marketing the technology through two spinoff companies, Fast Track Technologies and Random Knowledge. The first products are in the areas of network security, fraud detection, finance, and television.

One product, called DEFEND, is an intrusion detection and response system that finds, isolates, and destroys network intruders such as spyware. Random Knowledge is currently seeking venture capital funding to finalize development of a prototype.

Fast Track and Random Knowledge are also working with Invidi Technologies Corp. of Edmonton to develop a product that would use PINTS algorithms to detect and track the optimal viewing audience for specific commercials.

"The idea is to profile television viewers, so the right commercials can be played. Depending on your viewership profile, you might get a different commercial than your neighbour." Field tests are planned for early next year, with a commercial launch expected later in 2005.

One of the greatest challenges facing mathematics today is moving it out of the universities and into real-world applications. Dr. Kouritzin credits MITACS for making significant strides in this area.

"MITACS is playing an important role in getting the academic community to realize and exploit the industrial relevance of mathematics, and getting industry to realize how mathematics can be used to improve efficiencies, productivity, and profits. What we're doing now with Random Knowledge is just the beginning."

Simulations of the technology can be found on the PINTS Web site at www.math.ualberta.ca/pints.

The Random Knowledge Platform

www.mitacs.ca

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